2013 Fantasy Football Mock Draft – First Five Rounds

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Adrian PetersonIt’s Fantasy Football Mock Draft time people! It’s mind boggling to think we are already on the cusp of April and there is five full months separating us from the first week of NFL Football. With the NFL Draft only weeks away and free agent signings still coming in dribs and drabs, what better way to break up the monotony than listing the results in the first official mock article for the 2013 Fantasy Football season.  Yours truly was invited to draft with several other big-name sites in the business.

So enough yapping. Lets get to the results with analysis from all my picks.

Standard Scoring – Non-PPR

Pass TD: 4 points | Rushing/Receiving: 6 points
25 Passing Yards: 1 point | All Turnovers: - 2 points
10 Rushing Yards: 1 point | 10 Receiving Yards: 1 point

ROUND ONE

1.01 The Fantasy Surgeon – RB Adrian Peterson, Minnesota Vikings
1.02 Fantasy Knuckleheads – RB Arian Foster, Houston Texans
1.03 Icon Fantasy Sports – WR Calvin Johnson, Detroit Lions
1.04 DraftSharks – RB Doug Martin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
1.05 Flight 5 Live – RB LeSean McCoy, Philadelphia Eagles
1.06 Sirius XM – RB Trent Richardson, Cleveland Browns
1.07 Fantasy Sports Channel – QB Peyton Manning, Denver Broncos
1.08 Sports City Chefs – RB Ray Rice, Baltimore Ravens
1.09 Fighting Chance Fantasy Sports – RB Alfred Morris, Washington Redskins
1.10 Bruno Boys – RB Marshawn Lynch, Seattle Seahawks
1.11 FFLockerRoom – QB Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints
1.12 Fantasy Alarm – RB C.J. Spiller, Buffalo Bills

Analysis: It doesn’t get as no-brainer as Foster with the No. 2 pick. Unless a head coach literally goes out of his way to say Ray Rice or LeSean McCoy will reach 300 carries this year, AP and Foster will be the consensus No. 1 and No. 2 picks.

ROUND TWO

2.01 Fantasy Alarm – WR Brandon Marshall, Chicago Bears
2.02 FFLockerRoom – RB Jamaal Charles, Kansas City Chiefs
2.03 Bruno Boys – TE Rob Gronkowski, New England Patriots
2.04 Fighting Chance Fantasy Sports – QB Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers
2.05 Sports City Chefs – RB Chris Johnson, Tennessee Titans
2.06 Fantasy Sports Channel – RB Matt Forte, Chicago Bears
2.07 Sirius XM – WR A.J. Green, Cincinnati Bengals
2.08 Flight 5 Live – WR Demaryius Thomas, Denver Broncos
2.09 DraftSharks – TE Jimmy Graham, New Orleans Saints
2.10 Icon Fantasy Sports – WR Des Bryant, Dallas Cowboys
2.11 Fantasy Knuckleheads – WR Julio Jones, Atlanta Falcons
2.12 The Fantasy Surgeon – WR Michael Crabtree, San Francisco 49ers

Analysis: Jones is entering that magical “third year” where receivers are supposed to make the jump from good to great. That theory has been thrown out the window. He will likely never reach 100 catches. But in a non-PPR league, he doesn’t have to. 1200 yards and 10-12 touchdowns are my prediction.

ROUND THREE

3.01 The Fantasy Surgeon – WR Eric Decker, Denver Broncos
3.02 Fantasy Knuckleheads – RB Reggie Bush, Detroit Lions
3.03 Icon Fantasy Sports – RB DeMarco Murray, Dallas Cowboys
3.04 DraftSharks – RB Darren McFadden, Oakland Raiders
3.05 Flight 5 Live – RB Maurice Jones-Drew, Jacksonville Jaguars
3.06 Sirius XM – WR Roddy White, Atlanta Falcons
3.07 Fantasy Sports Channel – WR Victor Cruz, FA (Can’t see him out of New York)
3.08 Sports City Chefs – WR Andre Johnson, Houston Texans
3.09 Fighting Chance Fantasy Sports – WR Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona Cardinals
3.10 Bruno Boys – RB Steven Jackson, Atlanta Falcons
3.11 FFLockerRoom – WR Percy Harvin, Seattle Seahawks
3.12 Fantasy Alarm – RB Stevan Ridley, New England Patriots

Analysis: Some might think Bush is a reach in the third round. But if you look at the question marks surrounding guys like Murray, McFadden and even Ridley (Shane Vereen anyone?), Bush and his new digs as a Lion could pay huge dividends with a strong quarterback in Matthew Stafford. You know Bush is going to have a big role in both the rushing and passing game. I might not get points for receptions, but his receiving yards alone makes this pick worth it. Just so you know, I had debated taking Steven Jackson here instead, but three Falcons would have been overkill. Even if all three can put up consistent fantasy numbers.

ROUND FOUR

4.01 Fantasy Alarm – QB Tom Brady, New England Patriots
4.02 FFLockerRoom – TE Aaron Hernandez, New England Patriots
4.03 Bruno Boys – WR Vincent Jackson, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
4.04 Fighting Chance Fantasy Sports – RB Frank Gore, San Francisco 49ers
4.05 Sports City Chefs – QB Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco 49ers
4.06 Fantasy Sports Channel – RB Andre Brown, New York Giants
4.07 Sirius XM – WR Jordy Nelson, Green Bay Packers
4.08 Flight 5 Live – QB Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers
4.09 DraftSharks – WR Randall Cobb, Green Bay Packers
4.10 Icon Fantasy Sports – WR Hakeem Nicks, New York Giants
4.11 Fantasy Knuckleheads – QB Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons
4.12 The Fantasy Surgeon – WR Antonio Brown, Pittsburgh Steelers

Analysis: Lets see. Roddy White and Julio Jones. CHECK. Tony Gonzalez returning for another year. CHECK. A pass-catching running back in Steven Jackson. CHECK. Unless he breaks his leg, Ryan is going to put up big numbers this year that will compare with the likes of Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers.

ROUND FIVE

5.01 The Fantasy Surgeon – RB Ryan Mathews, San Diego Chargers
5.02 Fantasy Knuckleheads – TE Jason Witten, Dallas Cowboys
5.03 Icon Fantasy Sports – QB Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions
5.04 DraftSharks – RB David Wilson, New York Giants
5.05 Flight 5 Live – WR Wes Welker, Denver Broncos
5.06 Sirius XM – RB Vick Ballard, Indianapolis Colts
5.07 Fantasy Sports Channel – TE Martellus Bennett, Chicago Bears
5.08 Sports City Chefs – WR Pierre Garcon, Washington Redskins
5.09 Fighting Chance Fantasy Sports – WR Torrey Smith, Baltimore Ravens
5.10 Bruno Boys – WR Marques Colston, New Orleans Saints
5.11 FFLockerRoom – WR Mike Wallace, Pittsburgh Steelers
5.12 Fantasy Alarm – RB Lamar Miller, Miami Dolphins

Analysis: I usually like to lock up a top tight end in all my drafts, regardless of the point system. And it doesn’t get any safer than Witten. Year in and year out, you know you’re going to get at least 900 yards. Although it would be nice to see some more end zone looks. Those three scores from last year don’t cut it for me.

For the ongoing draft and the rest of the results, make sure to visit My Fantasy League.

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6 Comments

  1. kurt

    March 28, 2013 at 10:09 am

    Bush is a bit of reach but I think a good gamble.

    Witten, wow… really? hahaha I love clowning on peoples draft picks!

    • Greg Brosh

      March 28, 2013 at 10:12 am

      I figure Bush could average 100+ yards on his rushing/receiving numbers alone. His PPR value makes him higher.

      I really wanted Jackson. And in a real draft, I’d have no problems taking he, Ryan and Jones. All 3 will get a lot of points. The Falcons have to be the top team in regards to total fantasy value.

      Witten is Witten. You know what you’re going to get. Unless he or Romo are going to get injured, he’s good for 6-7 fantasy points a game in a non-PPR.

      • Jad

        March 28, 2013 at 10:49 am

        Greg, I agree with the 4 of the 5 picks. The one pick I don’t agree with is Arian Foster. The guy has been great and no one can take that away from him. But here are my reasons why he is not the 2nd overall pick.

        A) He has had 3 seasons of HEAVY work load. 350+ touches every year can he keep it up?
        B) Ben Tate… seems like Kubiak is going to integrate him more, maybe to rest Foster for playoffs, or maybe to go with a two headed monster
        C) HEART HEART HEART. What is wrong with it? the fact that they are making him sign a Liability waiver is not only scary from a fantasy point but in real life.
        D) How low is his worst? and how low is Calvin Johnson’s worst? point being I really don’t think he is worth the extra 20 points IF he can play to his best…

        I personally would have gone Doug Martin or McCoy (I am starting to lean towards McCoy more and more but that is just a hunch)

      • Greg Brosh

        March 28, 2013 at 10:54 am

        You make some very valid points Jad, but not taking Foster is simply too risky when you only get 4 points for a passing TD. I can see your Megatron argument. But as the league gets more and more into an RBBC, those later backs are hard to choose from. Tate will get more work, but not enough to break Foster’s streak.

  2. Russ

    June 7, 2013 at 2:36 am

    Wow…Fantasy Surgeon is terrible. I know this was pre-Achilles injury for Crabtree but even healthy that is an unbelievably awful reach. Decker in the 3rd to back it up. Amateur hour.

    • Greg Brosh

      June 7, 2013 at 7:42 am

      Crabtree had a lot of momentum coming out of the regular season. He was targeted in the double digits 4 of the last 5 games. I like the Crabtree pick, but question Decker with guys like Cruz, White and even Johnson still left on the board.