Fantasy Football Draft Strategy: Quarterback First?
Top Tier QBs Are Consistent Fantasy Point Producers
The degree to which passing attacks have exploded has been well chronicled, as has the fact that highly productive QBs have become increasingly prevalent. Signal callers are now entrusted with an ever increasing responsibility to generating sizable yardage and TDs. That in turn has entrenched them atop the fantasy point leader board in recent years. And that will occur again this season, as prolific QB play should be more prevalent than ever for fantasy owners.
Did you know that roughly 75% of the running backs selected among the first six runners off the board have a strong likelihood of not meeting expectation as RB1 and roughly a 50 percent chance of not even providing RB3 production. History doesn’t lie, look up the last three seasons ADP then compare it to the top 6 producers. Ala Doug Martin, CJ Spiller and Ray Rice, to name a few in 2013, all selected as top 6 RB talent and they didn’t live up to those expectations.
Now let’s look at QB:
Roughly 50% of the QB’s selected among the first six passers off the board nearly meet or exceed the previous years numbers. If you look at the top three passers the likelihood of nearly meeting or exceeding increases by 20%, the odds for a predictable outcome are in your favor. So which top tiers do you target and who is the most reliable after the first tier is gone, let’s take a look.
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