Late 4th early 5th RB's

Discussion in 'Fantasy Football Advice' started by peterjason, Aug 21, 2014.

  1. peterjason

    peterjason DP 2018 Premium Member

    Wo do you target here in ppr's?
     
  2. Kurt

    Kurt That Server Guy Staff Member Fantasy Guru

    Guys I like

    20 Andre Ellington, Ari RB 50.1 (THIS IS A STEAL IN THE 4TH ROUND - TARGET HIM)
    21 Trent Richardson, Ind RB 54.4 (HIGH RISK / HIGH REWARD - LATE 5TH EASY PICK FOR ME)
    22 Ray Rice, Bal RB 59.7 (HIGH RISK / HIGH REWARD)
    25 Rashad Jennings, NYG RB 62.6
    26 Joique Bell, Det RB 71.1 (THIS IS A STEAL IN THE 5/6TH ROUND)
    29 Shane Vereen, NE RB 78.6

    Not so much

    23 Chris Johnson, NYJ RB 60.9
    24 Toby Gerhart, Jac RB 61.6
    27 Steven Jackson, Atl RB 72.3
    28 Stevan Ridley, NE RB 76.8


    Using our cheat sheets:

    In the video below, replace "big board" with "cheat sheet" - and replace "power rating" with value" - same concepts -




    draft the position which has the largest drop off in points at "next value" - this ensure you don't wait on a position when it's replacement value (next value) is much lower than the other possible position.

    example:

    John RB - Value 60 - ADP 20 - Next Value 20 ADP 34 (the replacement value for John RB is minus 40 - see that?)

    Jim WR - Value 40 - ADP 21 - Next Value 36 ADP 36 (the replacement value for Jim WR is minus 4 - see that?)

    This means draft John RB - because the next guy that you'll be looking at is projected to score 40 points less... where as at Jim WR, you can have someone that will score nearly as many points but is available a full round later!

    Also read this - http://fantasyknuckleheads.com/fantasy-football-draft-strategy-quarterbacks/ which advocates taking the top tier RB first, followed by the top tier WR and TE, followed by the top tier QB. Meaning, if a top tier RB is still around at pick 5, choose him. It also means, if you're at pick 8 and all the top tier RB are gone, it's time to look at the top tier WR/TE. And finally, if you're at pick 10 and all the top tier WR/TE/RB are gone you could consider a top Tier QB if your league is QB friendly. Also, if you have drafted with this league before you may have a hunch if one of those top tier QB will available in Round 2, in which case it might be wise to wait until round two. Like I said, read this - http://fantasyknuckleheads.com/fantasy-football-draft-strategy-quarterbacks/
     
  3. Greg Brosh

    Greg Brosh Local Eagles Fan Fantasy Guru