Strength Of Schedule, Fantasy Football Positional SOS
Looking at the 2013 NFL Season here’s our strength of schedule projections.
The easiest schedule has the lowest number. The hardest schedule has the highest number.
So the number “1″ equals the easiest schedule and a number “32″ equals the hardest schedule. This is the same way we display the data in our customized draft package, except in the draft package the SOS is listed next to each players name, which is very handy when drafting.
Of course you can use SOS for your fantasy football draft to help you make decisions when drafting similar positions. Or you can use it to highlight players now as “targets” for your draft, I like to do both!
Strength of schedule is one of the most overlooked factors in fantasy football. Some people discount its value, but do your homework before you shove such data to the side, it is indeed relevant. In order to calculate SOS we use last years defensive data combined with off season moves to calculate fantasy points allowed for the 2013 season. We then run the numbers together to give you a numerical ranking for each NFL team based on their schedule. We also include SOS side by side our projected fantasy points, draft value (VBD), ADP and bye weeks in our draft guide based on your leagues points settings.
But, as they used to say in Reading Rainbow, “don’t take my word for it“.
In 2011 we projected Seattle as having the easiest SOS at running back. Marshawn Lynch went on to have the best year of his career, posting 1204 rushing yards and 12 rushing touchdowns. We also projected Detroit to have the easiest strength of schedule at QB. Matthew Stafford posted record numbers (for the Lions) in his first full season. Also in 2011 Aaron Rodgers had the 3rd easiest strength of schedule and posted his best passing stats to date. The Eagles had the third easiest SOS at RB, McCoy posted 17 rushing touch downs and 1309 rushing yards. I can play the name game for hours, pointing out how studs abused fantasy stats because they had an easy SOS. Bottom line, strength of schedule plays a factor in fantasy football.