Week 4 Power Rankings

yep, that's one of the things i like about a statistical formula ranking. everyone can throw their opinions into it too. hell, i disagree with some of the spots too but at least it a formula makes you think about 'why' a team might be in a certain spot and whether it has any credence.

 

NINE!!! THERe ARE NO OPINIONS!!!! ONLY STATISTICS!!!

 

Reminds me I should work on my own power rankings. See how it compares.

 

yes, definitely post them when you're done. I would like to see them too.

 

lol.

I'd like to see them too Boltz.

 

What about the Bears being way down in 19th. I can't say much after that game with the Giants. We will bounce back. :icon_sad:

 

Alright here it is:

2010 Season - Through Week 4:

1. San Diego Chargers 16.63
2. Pittsburgh Steelers 15.1
3. New York Jets 14.81
4. New England Patriots 13
5. Atlanta Falcons 12.69
6. Kansas City Chiefs 11.5
7. Tennessee Titans 10.19
8. Indianapolis Colts 10
9. St. Louis Rams 9.25
10. Green Bay Packers 8.94
11. Philadelphia Eagles 6.06
12. Dallas Cowboys 2.25
13. Baltimore Ravens 2.06
14. New Orleans Saints 1.98
15. Houston Texans 1.23
16. Denver Broncos 0.75
17. Minnesota Vikings 0.58
18. Cincinnati Bengals -0.25
19. Chicago Bears -0.35
20. Washington Redskins -2.31
21. Cleveland Browns -2.56
22. Seattle Seahawks -3.88
23. Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4.83
24. New York Giants -6.75
25. Miami Dolphins -8.35
26. Detroit Lions -9.15
27. Oakland Raiders -11.19
28. Jacksonville Jaguars -12.75
29. Carolina Panthers -14.71
30. San Francisco 49ers -16.19
31. Buffalo Bills -20.31
32. Arizona Cardinals -20.44


A few major differences (Rams, Giants, Titans).

 

cool. what kind of stats go into your formula?

 

Dolphins at 25? And Chargers at 1? I need to know how that came to be.

 

just by looking at the stats, my guess is that he's weighing yards gained/yards allowed heavier than i am because the chargers are #1 in the league right now by FAR in yard differential and the phins are barely positive.

we'll wait for boltzrule to tell us what goes into his formula though because it may be something else.

 

Ouch Boltz

 

I don't look at yards I look at points scored and opponents win/loss percentage. So close losses and big wins help and big losses and close wins don't help as much.

The formula is still a work in progress though. I want it to include yardage among other things because it does matter but the game is won by points scored so I don't want it to impact my ratings too much since it has worked pretty well.


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2 pretty big losses to .500 teams hurt but as the season progresses they'll mean less each week.

The Colts loss (-36) alone was about equal to the 2 wins combined(+37.5).


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Huge wins against .500 teams and pretty close losses is why the Chargers is #1 right now.

I should look at the consistency of each team because right now the Chargers are pretty inconsistent.


As far as the Dolphins go small wins against bad teams (Bill winless, Vikings .333) and a huge loss to the Patriots.

But even if you took out the Patriots loss they'd still only be 18th.

 

Interesting....I think you guys have way too much time on your hands...but still it's fun to see what you come up with! :icon_cheesygrin:

 

ok, that makes sense too. the chargers are very strong in points scored vs. pts allowed in addition to yardage gained vs. yardage allowed. i cap my points for margin of victory or loss in a game though so the 79 pts they've scored vs. only 23 allowed at home this year don't factor as strongly in my formula. That's probably why they only rank 3rd in mine even though their yardage differential is huge in mine and brings them up. In addition, as you state, whether we actually believe the Chiefs, Jags, Seahawks, and Cards are any good or not, the fact is that those 4 opponents are 8-3 when they don't play the Chargers, which isn't too bad.

 

Just wondering did you do you rankings last season, if so how did it end up.


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Not really that time consuming since I already have it set up, so it's just entering the info.

 

no, last season was the first year i hadn't done them in several years.