BoltzRule's Power Rankings - 2011 Season ~ Week 6 ~

Discussion in 'NFL General Discussion' started by BoltzRule, Oct 18, 2011.

  1. BoltzRule

    BoltzRule Fans refugee

    Week 6:

    1. Green Bay Packers 13.061
    2. San Francisco 49ers 12.722
    3. Baltimore Ravens 12.235
    4. Detroit Lions 7.329
    5. New England Patriots 6.847
    6. Pittsburgh Steelers 3.937
    7. Buffalo Bills 3.048
    8. New Orleans Saints 2.852
    9. Cincinnati Bengals 2.674
    10. Chicago Bears 2.039
    11. San Diego Chargers 1.861
    12. Oakland Raiders 1.73
    13. Tennessee Titans 1.144
    14. Washington Redskins 0.512
    15. New York Jets 0.178

    16. New York Giants -0.022
    17. Atlanta Falcons -0.211
    18. Dallas Cowboys -0.544
    19. Seattle Seahawks -0.64
    20. Philadelphia Eagles -0.996
    21. Houston Texans -1.042
    22. Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1.537
    23. Cleveland Browns -3.896
    24. Kansas City Chiefs -4.464
    25. Minnesota Vikings -4.481
    26. Denver Broncos -4.683
    27. Carolina Panthers -4.921
    28. Arizona Cardinals -8.059
    29. Jacksonville Jaguars -8.421
    30. Indianapolis Colts -9.006
    31. Miami Dolphins -10.32
    32. St. Louis Rams -15.56
     
    Last edited: Oct 18, 2011
  2. BoltzRule

    BoltzRule Fans refugee

    Packers take back 1st.
     
  3. MadMoxxiFavGun

    MadMoxxiFavGun Going Crazy

    im calling bullcrap on your system. there is no freaking way the niners drop one after beating the lions. i think u put packers at one just to shut people up.
     
  4. Litez0ut

    Litez0ut Litez0ut Sucka

    While I don't agree with the rankings I don't get how you can move 49ers out of 1 when they beat an undefeated team and move the backers back on top for beating a team that hasn't won a game. I am not saying the niners should be #1.
     
    Last edited: Oct 18, 2011
  5. BoltzRule

    BoltzRule Fans refugee

    Pfft, oh ye of little faith.

    The numbers (weekly numbers change week to week based on opponents win/loss % and recent games are weighted more heavily than early season games).

    Niners:
    (9.067 -2.800 5.833 1.000 67.500 11.000 )= 91.6 / 6 (games played) = 15.26666666666667 * .83333333333333 (win %) = 12.72222222222222

    An example of how one of the weekly numbers changed, this week last week's result is worth 67.5 pts, last week it was worth 72 pts. Each week that the Niners play that game will have less value. Next week that result will only change based on whether the Bucs win (since the Niners will have a bye) so if the Bucs win it will be worth 69.628 if the Bucs lose it'll be worth 63.199.

    Packers:
    (6.667 3.500 10.000 22.533 14.667 21.000 ) = 78.367 / 6 = 13.06116666666667 * 1 = 13.06116666666667
     
    Last edited: Oct 18, 2011
  6. BoltzRule

    BoltzRule Fans refugee

    Basically to get more indepth on how I get each week's score

    Opponents win/loss % (if you beat the opponents the win % is used if you lose the loss % is used, this is fluid as in it changes as the opponent's win/loss % changes during the season) + (game number/games played) = X

    X * point differential = Weekly score.

    So an example Week 1 for the Niners
    Opponent was the Seahawks their current win % is .400, since it was the first game and they've played 6 games so far we get

    .400 + (1/6) = .567

    X = .5666666666666667

    They beat the Seahawks by 16 points so

    .56666666666666667 * 16 = 9.0666666666666667


    So you can see that each week's score can change each week based on 2 things, the amount of games played and how much the opponents win/loss percentage has changed. So yea if you want to fact check you've got all the info to do so.
     
    Last edited: Oct 18, 2011
  7. MadMoxxiFavGun

    MadMoxxiFavGun Going Crazy

  8. MadMoxxiFavGun

    MadMoxxiFavGun Going Crazy

    the score difference holds too much value imo
     
  9. 86WARD

    86WARD -

    I like seeing the Packers at one...but the Steelers are no where near 6. Should be much lower. As always...enjoy the rankings.
     
  10. BoltzRule

    BoltzRule Fans refugee

    I never claimed it was perfect, I'm always open to any suggestions (I've tweaked it the 1st 2 years I did it, so I might as well do it again :icon_cheesygrin:). I've been looking into a way to implement yardage in some way. I'm going to test some things when I have the time to see how it looks.
     
  11. Steve12

    Steve12 The night is dark and full of terrors

    While I don't agree with the rankings, I definitely respect the fact that you can put the formulas and crap together. Waaaaay over my head. I hate math. So good job man. lol.
     
  12. BoltzRule

    BoltzRule Fans refugee

    Ha, math was/is my favorite subject so I like messing with numbers. My formula is pretty simplistic compared to others who did similar things here last year.
     
  13. Dragonite

    Dragonite Simply Arrogant!

    I am thinking of making a formula myself...we shall see what happens I am working on it now.

    That being said I respect your power rankings though some of them appear skewed to me.
     
  14. MadMoxxiFavGun

    MadMoxxiFavGun Going Crazy

    Yardage is not what I would use. U can get alot of yards and not win. See philly week 4
     
  15. andy82

    andy82 Your Soul, It's Mine!

    Yardage can also be very misleading, especially in early blowouts and the leading team takes the foot off the gas.