link The main points.... 1) The high picks in the 1st round are exceedingly more expensive than the lower picks. 2) The top picks do not have a better statistical value than the bottom picks of each round. (In other words pick 1 does not have as likely of being good as you will have to pay him compared to the 32nd pick.) 3) The draft is a gamble on young kids that no team or GM can master. With quotes from NFL drafting guru Bill Polian (Indy GM) backing it up. 4) The teams that have had the most success from the draft have CONSISTENTLY traded back and grabbed more picks. (See Cowboys and Patriots) 5) The picks from the 1st round are almost as likely to be OUT OF FOOTBALL (8%) as they are to be a pro-bowl player (9%) in the first 5 seasons. 6) Making the wrong pick at the top can cost your franchise so much that it can set you back at least 5 years. 7) The teams that selected a DT in the first round from 1996 to 2006 on average allow 0.4 yards MORE the next 2 season than they did the season before the pick.
You never knew, how a top college player works out in the NFL. We saw a lot busts, making huge $$$, warming the bench
I was just reading that in my ESPN Magazine... :icon_lol: I, however, was not sharing it with Nate at the time...
That is why I don't get all wound up about the draft unlike Jets fans. Make sensible picks and you'll be ok. Gamble and it could bite ya. Nice points.
http://www.draftdaddy.com/features/avg_40_yard_dash.cfm http://blogs.chron.com/nfl/2008/02/times_for_the_40_at_the_combin.html Let me explain something right away about the combine. When you're watching the NFL Network, and it flashes a 40-yard dash time as, say, 4.27 by Arkansas running back Darren McFadden, keep in mind that he's being timed by one guy using a stopwatch for the network. In other words, it's not official. Actually, there's no official 40-yard dash time. All scouts carry stopwatches. They rely on their times, not times used by the NFL Network or NFL.com. For instance, I spoke with two scouts who timed McFadden in the high 4.39s when the network had him at 4.27. And check this out: McFadden ran in his tennis shoes - not track shoes that most players wear. No telling what he'll run at the Razorbacks' pro day. Scouts record their times and the combine times that combine scouts clock. Based on electronic times put out by NFL.com, only nine players have run sub-4.40s. Running back Chris Johnson ran 4.24. So far, he's been the fastest. The other sub-4.20 40s have been turned in by McFadden (4.33), receiver DeSean Jackson (4.35), running back Anthony Alridge (4.36), receiver Andre Caldwell (4.37), receiver Will Franklin (4.37), receiver Dexter Jackson (4.37), running back Jamaal Charles (4.38) and receiver Eddie Royal (4.39).
Ridiculous!! I actually been saying this for some years now, I think they need to be like the NBA and apply a rookie salary; and if you prove yourself within 3-5years it will be up to the teams to sign you to what they want.
Nice read. I don't see the point of number 7, though. No one is expecting a rookie to come in and carry the team in his first year just because he was a number one pick. Besides, more than one player allows those yards. Too many lurking variables in that stat.
I'll never understand how that kind of datas (40y dash, bench press, etc.) can have as much importance to the scouts as the actual games the guys played in college. :dontknow: IMO, a scout who praises a player after a good combine or private workout had not done his homework during the season.
