I made a program that predicts what each team will do. The decimals are just because the system's lazy :tease: As of week 2 (before Monday): IND 12.2 -3.8 (y) NE 12.2 -3.8 (y) SD 11.8 -4.2 (y) CHI 10.9 -5.1 (y) NO 10.4 -5.6 (y) SF 10.3 -5.7 (y) PHI 9.7 -6.3 (y) DAL 9.4 -6.6 (x) DEN 9.4 -6.6 (x) BAL 9.1 -6.9 (y) JAX 9.1 -6.9 (x) CIN 9.0 -7.0 CAR 9.0 -7.0 (x) SEA 9.0 -7.0 NYJ 8.6 -7.4 HOU 8.5 -7.5 NYG 7.7 -8.3 PIT 7.7 -8.3 STL 7.7 -8.3 GB 7.7 -8.3 MIN 7.3 -8.7 ARZ 7.2 -8.8 WAS 6.4 -9.6 TEN 6.4 -9.6 TB 6.3 -9.7 KC 5.9 -10.1 MIA 5.9 -10.1 OAK 5.8 -10.2 BUF 5.0 -11.0 ATL 5.0 -11.0 DET 4.9 -11.1 CLE 4.5 -11.5
I just messed around with Excel and actually got somewhere, so it isn't actually a program, but yeah.
Last year's wins What the 'experts' predicted what I predicted Sterngth of Schedule Offensive/defensive points wins so far.
I messed around with it some more... NE 12.2 -3.8 (y) IND 12.1 -3.9 (y) SD 11.7 -4.3 (y) CHI 10.8 -5.2 (y) NO 10.3 -5.7 (y) SF 10.2 -5.8 (y) PHI 9.5 -6.5 (y) DAL 9.4 -6.6 (x) DEN 9.3 -6.7 (x) BAL 9.0 -7.0 (y) CIN 9.0 -7.0 (x) SEA 9.0 -7.0 (x) JAX 9.0 -7.0 CAR 9.0 -7.0 NYJ 8.6 -7.4 HOU 8.5 -7.5 NYG 7.8 -8.2 PIT 7.7 -8.3 STL 7.7 -8.3 GB 7.7 -8.3 MIN 7.2 -8.8 ARZ 7.2 -8.8 WAS 6.5 -9.5 TEN 6.3 -9.7 TB 6.2 -9.8 KC 5.9 -10.1 MIA 5.8 -10.2 OAK 5.7 -10.3 BUF 5.0 -11.0 DET 4.9 -11.1 ATL 4.9 -11.1 CLE 4.4 -11.6
Hmmmm....Pitt still at 7.7 same as rams who look terrible.....interesting and below the giants....hmmmm...
time to entertain myself with an over or under on each one. NE 12.2 -3.8 (y) Over. I think 13-3 or 14-2 IND 12.1 -3.9 (y) You would expect over, but I'll go Under. 11 or 12 wins probable. SD 11.7 -4.3 (y) Under. 10 or 11 wins CHI 10.8 -5.2 (y) Hmmmm. Tough. Still say Under. 10 wins? NO 10.3 -5.7 (y) Under. 0-2 and they've been the worst team in the NFL. They could rebound, but they won't get above 10. SF 10.2 -5.8 (y) Gimme the Under. Above average team in weak division, good at home, weak on road. Not seeing more than 10. PHI 9.5 -6.5 (y) What the hell, I'll go Over and try for 10 wins. Could happen, but they're 0-2. Can they close 10-4 or better? DAL 9.4 -6.6 (x) If Philly's going Over, I'll have to say Under for Dallas. But they could easily have 9 or 10 wins too. Eh, change my mind. Over for Dallas. Very tough, though. DEN 9.3 -6.7 (x) Under, but they'll be right around 9 wins too. BAL 9.0 -7.0 (y) Over. They should get 10, even with an awful QB like McNair, and without Ogden and Sams. CIN 9.0 -7.0 (x) Whatever. Who knows? Under SEA 9.0 -7.0 (x) Fine, Over. JAX 9.0 -7.0 Very tough here. Good team with no QB. Over anyway CAR 9.0 -7.0 Under NYJ 8.6 -7.4 Under HOU 8.5 -7.5 Under NYG 7.8 -8.2 Definitely Under PIT 7.7 -8.3 OVER STL 7.7 -8.3 Under GB 7.7 -8.3 Over. Surprise team gets to 8 or 9 wins somehow. MIN 7.2 -8.8 Under. 6 wins with a shoddy pass defense and a bad QB. ARI 7.2 -8.8 ???? Hmmm. I dunno. Over. Not sure how, though. I'm not really sold on them getting 8. WAS 6.5 -9.5 Over. TEN 6.3 -9.7 Over. TB 6.2 -9.8 Over. KC 5.9 -10.1 Under because they suck. I was thinking 6-10 before the season, but the first two weeks have emboldened me. Last place with 4 or 5 wins. MIA 5.8 -10.2 Miami is a mess, but I can't justify an Under. OAK 5.7 -10.3 A mess at QB but this team is improved, or at least they should be. Plus they play the Chiefs twice. They better sweep 'em. Over. BUF 5.0 -11.0 Over. Better chance at 6 wins than 4. At least I think so. DET 4.9 -11.1 Over for sure. .500? ATL 4.9 -11.1 Train wreck of a year, but Over. I could see 6. CLE 4.4 -11.6 Under. Cleveland sucks and so does Crennel. 4-12 hopefully.
Yis...that weak road team just beat a division foe on the road..1-0 baby...but I agree..I don't see them winning more than 10...thats where i'd put them if they win the division..I see 9 or 10 as realistic..if the O gets going that is..
