Monday Night Football Preview

By on December 10, 2012
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There have been a lot of complaints that Monday Night Football doesn’t get as many quality games compared to Sunday night or even Thursday night. But I don’t think anyone can complain that the Texans versus Patriots will be the game of the week. With Houston still sitting on top of the AFC at an 11-1 record, a loss in New England could blow the quest for the No. 1 seed in the playoffs wide open. If so, the next several weeks are going to be very interesting. As much as some NFC fans will deny this, the AFC is still the more superior conference.


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With that said, lets take a look at several players who I think are MUST STARTS, OKAY STARTS and GUYS I’D AVOID AT ALL COSTS.

MUST STARTS

Monday Night Football PreviewArian Foster – Is there really any doubt? Only things that I can say about Foster is how the hell did this kid go undrafted coming out of college? And, how could he not have been good enough to unseat Steve Slaton before the 2010 season?

Tom Brady – The Texans Defense on the ground and through the air seem to have deflated from earlier in the season. But even if they were rock solid, I would still recommend Brady. I know what you’re thinking. Between Foster and Brady, I’m telling you things you already know. But I have to list them don’t I?

Wes Welker – After a very traumatic Week One against the Titans, where Welker caught just 3 passes, it’s been an up-and-down roller coaster. But the one thing that has kept Welker’s value afloat is his catches. Since that Week One game, he has yet to get any less then 5 and he racked up his third double-digit game last week against the Dolphins. With Rob Gronkowski out, the team has had to rely more on Welker recently, making him a no brainer.

Aaron Hernandez – I was one of the owners who had to sit on Hern for 7 games this year and it killed me. Having to play matchups while your stud is sitting on your roster isn’t a pleasant thing to go through. But Hernandez is good to go and should have another big game on Monday night. I, along with many other owners, desperately need either a win or a lot of points to stay alive for some big money at the end of the season.

Andre Johnson – A part of me was going to list AJ in as an OKAY START, but I get the feeling he will have a big game on the big stage. If you look at his numbers, they are all over the place. He isn’t putting up the consistent numbers we are used to. But against a Patriots team that can score at will against any opponent, the Texans will have to pass often. Johnson should be a WR1. But even though I believe he’ll rack up big numbers, it wouldn’t shock me if Johnson misses out on 100 yards receiving. He only has 4 this year.

OKAY STARTS

Monday Night Football PreviewStevan Ridley – I could have put Ridley in as a MUST START. But unlike Foster, Ridley still has some small question marks surrounding him. If you look at his weekly stats, he’ll put up really big games. Then he will come back down to Earth. I do think Ridley will have a good, not great, game tonight against the Texans Defense. But I don’t see him coming close to the numbers that Foster will put up. Danny Woodhead and Shane Vereen still linger in the background.

Owen Daniels – The Patriots rank behind only the Redskins at the bottom of the barrel against opposing fantasy tight ends, giving up 10.4 points per contest. However, with a mere 63 yards over the last 2 weeks, Daniels can’t be counted on compared to Hernandez. Unfortunately for many owners, he is likely the best you had this week. So for your sake, I hope he makes a comeback.

Matt Schaub – Unlike Brady, Schaub is still more of a game manager than a quarterback who is going to become the rifleman. But every once and awhile, he will put up one of those huge games, like the 527 passing yards he put up against the Jaguars in Week 11. Just like I wrote with Andre Johnson, the Texans might be forced to throw a lot, making Schaub a low-end QB1 this week. But you never know; Both teams could try and get the ground game going early and often in this one. A high-scoring affair might not be in the cards (See Saints versus Falcons).

GUYS I’D AVOID AT ALL COSTS

Brandon Lloyd – I know it might be tempting to play Lloyd with the belief that tonight will be his big game, but I’m not buying it. He’s shown he isn’t good with physical corners and can get taken out of the game fairly early. Going up against Johnathan Joseph, who finally returns from a hamstring injury, I don’t expect much from Lloyd this week. He’s almost off the WR3 radar completely.

Kevin Walter – Walter is a receiver who isn’t great, but he does everything just good enough. Which is why the Texans re-signed him right before the start of free agency in 2010. He’s one of those players who will put up 70-80 yards and a touchdown, get added to the waiver wire list, and then you don’t hear from him again for the next 4-5 weeks. Stay away.

Texans Defense – I’ll take this right out of Matt Zawaski’s Week 14 Team Defense Rankings:

12. Houston Texans – The low ranking is strictly due to the Texans match up this week.  It’s almost playoff time, so any team facing Tom Brady is in for a challenge.  The Texans D had a monster fantasy week in Week 13, but I really don’t think they will be able to repeat that performance vs. Brady and his crew.  If you have the Texans D, check your waiver wire for one of the defenses listed above.  The Texans aren’t the worst play this week, but I’d avoid it if I could.

7 Comments

  1. JKA

    December 10, 2012 at 8:37 am

    Brady if you can score 40 points + keep up with Owen Daniels and Gostgowski you will be my one and only savior…

  2. Matt Zawaski

    December 10, 2012 at 8:59 am

    I need Arian Foster to outscore Andre Johnson by 5 points and Wes to score under 30 in a full point ppr league.

    • Greg Brosh

      December 10, 2012 at 9:08 am

      I need both teams to go run heavy all game long, with a few Brady touchdown passes to Hernandez. And I need Gostkowski to miss all those extra points :P

  3. MC B

    December 10, 2012 at 1:57 pm

    Crap. Got to start Lloyd or Walter with season on the line. Who do I start?

    • Greg Brosh

      December 10, 2012 at 2:03 pm

      Are you joking or being serious? If I had to choose, I’d go Lloyd and hope as hard as I can.

      • Ray Tannock

        December 10, 2012 at 7:14 pm

        I gotta tell ya, Greg, I like Lloyd’s matchup in this one.

        Getting Joseph back is huge, but at what cost? Houston ( with Joseph especially) is known for their bump and run coverage, but it isn’t any good against teams that have more than three passing threats on the field.

        The Green Bay loss is very indicative of the flaws of bump and run within Houston’s deployment of the scheme.

        The Texans can’t compensate for Welker out of the slot AND Lloyd on the outside at the same time in bump and run ( and that’s just two major passing threats offered by the Pats), and considering Lloyd isn’t viewed as much as a threat as Welker right now, I just see this scenario playing out as Lloyd FINALLY “showing up” this season :)

        If the New England front five hold off the pass rush led by J.J. Watt, Lloyd stands to be the sleeper beneficiary in this one as far as I’m concerned.

        Either way…one helluva game on tap tonight!

  4. Greg Brosh

    December 11, 2012 at 7:56 am

    Good call Ray. They didn’t press Lloyd at all last night. @MC B. I hope playing Lloyd helped you win.

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