Why is it called “expert” mock draft? Are we so skilled that we can be called experts? Peyton Manning is an “expert” quarterback, Steven Jackson is an expert running back. They are experts because they’ve been doing what they do professionally for a long time at a very high level. Well, the people that attended […]
Identifying Value: Regression, Randomness, and Running Backs, Part 2
If you missed PART 1 of this series – Read more here The Myth of Overworked Running Backs One of the most frequent mistakes made by fantasy football owners is assuming all correlations are due to a causal effect. Lots of things in life are related, yet have no effect on one another. The old notion that […]
Where Should You Draft Daryl Richardson Now?
The trio of Daryl Richardson, Isaiah Pead and Zac Stacy entered training camp in what was perceived to be a tight, three-way competition at the running back position, even though Richardson was considered as a slight favorite to ultimately capture the starting slot. But now that Jeff Fisher has somewhat surprisingly stated “I think Daryl comes back as our starter”, it is […]
Identifying Value: Regression, Randomness, and Running Backs: Part 1
The following is a section from a chapter from my book Fantasy Football for Smart People. In Identifying Value: Regression, Randomness, and Running Backs, I discuss how to leverage differences in perceived value and actual value into a competitive advantage. Identifying Value: Regression, Randomness, and Running Backs Back in 2008, I had running back Thomas […]
RGIII’s Fantasy Football Analysis
Now that Robert Lee Griffin III has proceeded beyond his first week of training camp without any protest from his surgically repaired knee, the chances of him taking snaps during Washington’s regular season opener are steadily increasing. Last January 6, he reinjured the knee which had already negatively impacted his performance during the Redskins postseason […]
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