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C.J. Spiller Fantasy Outlook With New Orleans Saints

March 16, 2015 by Kurt Turner

cj-spiller-saintsThe New Orleans Saints and free agent running back C.J. Spiller agreed to a four-year contract on Friday, a move that bolstered a backfield which also includes Mark Ingram and Khiry Robinson. Spiller, 27, has spent his first five NFL seasons with the Buffalo Bills, showing the ability to pile up yards as both a ball carrier and receiver out of the backfield. His best season came in 2012, when he rushed for 1,244 yards and six touchdowns to go with 459 yards and two TDs receiving. He followed that up with 933 yards rushing and 185 yards receiving in 2013, but played in only nine games last season because of a shoulder injury, finishing with 300 yards rushing and 125 yards receiving. Source: FoxSports

Fantasy Knuckleheads Take:

Spiller will assume a third down & hybrid roll with the Saint similar to what we saw with Sproles in the previous years. Let's take a look at Sproles from 2012 and 2013.

Att Yds TD Tgt Rec Yds TD PR Yds TD KR Yds YD
2012 48 244 1 104 75 667 7 23 178 0 18 477 0
2013 53 220 2 89 71 604 2 29 180 0 12 253 0

Let's get one thing straight, Spiller and Sproles are two different backs. Sproles arguably has better vision and shiftiness while Spiller definitely has more quickness and long speed. Everyone following the Saint off-season moves knows we're looking at a new style Sean Peyton offense, perhaps one similar to the 2009 season where they ran the rock a great deal more, perhaps emulating the 2014 Dallas team that leaned on the run to "save" the defense. But the truth is no one knows for sure except Sean Peyton.

CJ Spiller's Fantasy Outlook

I expect Peyton to utilize Spiller in a manner similar to that of both Sproles and Thomas. He's get all those targets, that means the Thomas screens and Sproles sweeps. Obviously he'll get the targets which makes him a PPR goldmine in PPR fantasy leagues. You'll want to target Spiller in the third round in PPR leagues and 5th or 6th round in standard leagues. Obviously these draft round projects need to be adjusted based on average draft position so it's a little early to know for sure but that's my early estimate. Here's the stats I think you can count on excluding return yardage.

Att Yds TD Tgt Rec Yds TD
2015 80 480 2 90 70 780 5

 

Category - Fantasy Football News and Analysis - C.J. Spiller Fantasy Outlook With New Orleans Saints

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About Kurt Turner

Kurt's fantasy advice is featured on USA Today Sports, Bleacher Reports, SiriusXM and Fox Sports. He is the owner of FantasyKnuckleheads.com and has been butchering topics here for over 15 years. Follow him on Twitter

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