• Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer
  • Home
  • In-Season Rankings
    • Standard
    • PPR
  • Waiver Wire
  • Members Only
    • DFS LU TOOL
    • Player Tracker
    • Forum
    • Cheat Sheets
    • Log In
  • Join
Fantasy Knuckleheads

Fantasy Knuckleheads

Fantasy sports news, rankings, sleepers, cheat sheets, stats and tools.

Lesean Mccoy: The beginning of the end?

September 22, 2014 by Jason Davidson

Yesterday Lesean Mccoy ran for 22 yards on 19 carries.  More importantly he left the in the first quarter after sustaining what appeared to be a head injury. He returned later, but didn’t resemble the outstanding running back we know as Shady.

Lesean Mccoy had a picture perfect 2013 season but carried the ball 314 times

There are several possible explanations for Lesean Mccoy's disappointing game, but a few stand out.

1.) The Redskins outstanding run defense.  Actually, I wrote that sentence with every intention of mocking the ‘skins... but this season opponents have run for 194 yards on 69 carries for a stellar 2.0 yards against.  Granted, Lesean Mccoy’s 1.2 ypc from Sunday pulls that average down, but it’s still very notable.

2.)Lesean Mccoy sustained a concussion and talked his way back into the game against the judgement of doctors.  Mccoy was on the ground for a while after the hit. It’s not out of the the realm of possibility that he sustained a minor concussion but was able to pass enough of the tests to be reinstated. If this were the case, It would quickly explain why Mccoy had such a terrible outing.

If it’s one of the first two possible explanations, there is little to fear for the rest of Lesean Mccoy’s season.  However, there’s a third possibility.

3.) If you’ve played any amount of fantasy football, you are acutely aware of the 300 carries barrier. The short version of concept goes like this: When a back runs for 300 carries in a given season, the following season he has a SHARP decline in production.

Here’s a link to an outstanding article breaking down the stats on the 300 carriers barrier.  http://www.nationalfootballpost.com/What-happens-after-300-carries.html  And this is a follow-up article from the following season. http://www.nationalfootballpost.com/What-happens-after-300-carries-revisited.html.

One of the most telling statistics is that of the 80 players since 2002 with 300 carries in a season, 40 of them missed at least one game the next year. In fact... quoting the linked article

“Of the 44 running backs who saw their fantasy production drop by 50 or more points following their 300+ carry season, 24 (54.5%) appeared in fewer games the next year while 21 (47.7%) played in at least three less matchups.”

Lesean Mccoy’s performance might be able to be blamed on the Washington defense or the possible concussion, but all season his numbers have been very down. 42 carries for 153, which is an average of 3.75 yards per carry. Against his carry ypc average of 4.7 and last years amazing 5.1... the 3.75 is alarmingly low. He is certainly showing the expected decline after a 300 carry season. What remains is whether or not he’ll be in the 50% of players that misses games. If he was concussed, is it the beginning of a series of concussions or perhaps a string of seemingly unrelated injuries?

This is a fantasy article, so there needs to be some spin. If I’m an owner of Lesean Mccoy, I’m seriously considering packaging him in a 2-2 deal which steps me back at the RB position but seriously upgrades me at another.  Another option is to go 1-1 and try and grab an RB off the waiver wire. I’m looking at this article for help on trade targets, and this article for waiver help.

Category - Fantasy Football News and Analysis - Lesean Mccoy: The beginning of the end?

Dominate Your League

Primary Sidebar

Recent Articles

  • Fantasy Football Draft Psychology: How To Outsmart Your League Mates

    Fantasy Football Draft Psychology: How To Outsmart Your League Mates

  • Which Quarterback Should You Draft in 2021?

    Which Quarterback Should You Draft in 2021?

  • Team Defense Committee vs Streaming Draft Strategy

    Team Defense Committee vs Streaming Draft Strategy

  • Week 16 Waiver Wire Pickups

    Week 16 Waiver Wire Pickups

  • Week 15 Waiver Wire Pickups

    Week 15 Waiver Wire Pickups

Need To Know

  • Fantasy Football Rankings
  • Average Draft Position (ADP) Report
  • Fantasy Football Draft Projections
  • The Best Waiver Wire Picks
  • Best Optimal Lineup Tool
  • ESPN Insider Coupon Code
  • Premium Fantasy Football Draft Guide
  • Fantasy Football Projections Video Series

Footer

ABOUT US

Established in the summer of 2009, Fantasy Knuckleheads is devoted to providing quality fantasy football news, advice, cheat sheets, tools and services. We’re not a mega-sports-site that churns out content by the pound. We’re simply a small, tight knit group of fantasy experts turned writers that love what we do, especially when we’re right. We strive to tell you something you don’t already know that’s actionable and at the very least, informative.

Fantasy Blog Network

Get This <a href="https://fantasyknuckleheads.com" title="Fantasy Football Rankings"><b>Fantasy Football for all you knuckleheads</b></a>

INFORMATION

  • Staff
  • Privacy Policy
  • Contact Us
  • About Us
  • Write For Us
  • Fantasy Sports Widget

Copyright © 2023 · Fantasy Knuckleheads ·

Copyright © 2023 · Magazine Pro on Genesis Framework · WordPress · Log in