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Making Sense of Points Per First Down Fantasy Scoring

June 19, 2017 by Kurt Turner

There are some of us preparing to draft a team where players score fantasy points for every first down. In most cases receiving and rushing first downs will net you a full point or half point. I've never played in a point per first down (PPFD) league but I'm participating in the Scott Fish Bowl (SFB7) this season and thought I'd try to prepare just a little bit. Scott has it set up where you're awarded a point per first down reception as well as rushing. And as if it couldn't get any crazier tight ends get a full extra point per first down.

Which Position Is More Valuable?

On average, points per first down reception increases the amount of points scored for RB by 7%, WR by 33%, and TE by 34%, when compared to standard leagues. For the SFB we must also consider the points per rushing first down. As you can see on sporting charts your workhorse running backs are going to net you an additional 60-70 fantasy points from rushing first downs, or about 4 more points per game.

Your cowbell 3 down back is an absolute goldmine in a point per first down league. Here are the tier 1 guys I'm taking with my first pick, regardless of who is on the board including Brown and Jones.

  • David Johnson
  • Le'Veon Bell
  • Melvin Gordon
  • Ezekiel Elliott
  • LeSean McCoy

Running Back Receiving First Downs

Player Pos Team 2016 2015 2014
David Johnson RB ARI 42 21 0
Le'Veon Bell RB PIT 31 4 41
James White RB NE 26 19 1
Duke Johnson Jr. RB CLE 24 23 #N/A
Devonta Freeman RB ATL 22 21 8
Bilal Powell RB NYJ 22 21 5
Melvin Gordon RB SD 21 8 #N/A
DeMarco Murray RB TEN 20 12 16
Theo Riddick RB DET 20 32 14

Running Back Rushing First Downs

Player Pos Team Rushing First Downs Rushing Attempts Rushing First Downs %
Ezekiel Elliott RB DAL 91 322 28.3
LeGarrette Blount RB NE 67 299 22.4
David Johnson RB ARI 72 293 24.6
DeMarco Murray RB TEN 64 293 21.8
Todd Gurley RB LA 48 278 17.3
Lamar Miller RB HOU 52 268 19.4
Frank Gore RB IND 50 263 19
Le'Veon Bell RB PIT 69 261 26.4
Jay Ajayi RB MIA 60 260 23.1
Melvin Gordon RB SD 61 254 24
Jordan Howard RB CHI 70 252 27.8
LeSean McCoy RB BUF 55 234 23.5
Devonta Freeman RB ATL 61 227 26.9
Jeremy Hill RB CIN 42 222 18.9
Jonathan Stewart RB CAR 47 218 21.6
Matt Forte RB NYJ 35 218 16.1
Carlos Hyde RB SF 48 217 22.1
Spencer Ware RB KC 47 214 22
Mark Ingram RB NO 49 205 23.9
Isaiah Crowell RB CLE 45 198 22.7
Latavius Murray RB OAK 52 195 26.7
Terrance West RB BAL 35 193 18.1
Rashad Jennings RB NYG 29 181 16
Devontae Booker RB DEN 30 174 17.2
Rob Kelley RB WAS 29 168 17.3
Jerick McKinnon RB MIN 21 159 13.2
Ryan Mathews RB PHI 38 155 24.5
Christine Michael RB GB 32 148 21.6
Doug Martin RB TB 23 144 16

 

Tight Ends Aren't More Valuable

No matter what scoring format, the tight end position has a very small group of elite players you may choose from during the draft. Just call me captain obvious. In all seriousness, even with tight ends getting a full extra point per first down that isn't going to change my outlook so much. I'll still be looking for tight end in the later rounds unless Olsen or Kelce drop to me. I was in a SFB7 mock draft last week and Kelce fell to me late in the 4th round. He is a first down machine in KC and one of the more consistent guys year after year. So rather than wait until the later round for a tight end I went ahead and pounced.

Chart worked up by Keith Lott @ We Talk Fantasy Sports

First Downs Since 2014

Player Pos Team 2016 2015 2014 3y avg
Greg Olsen TE CAR 54 52 56 54
Travis Kelce TE KC 55 40 45 47
Rob Gronkowski TE NE 19 52 60 44
Jimmy Graham TE SEA 45 29 54 43
Zach Ertz TE PHI 42 39 42 41
Delanie Walker TE TEN 35 52 34 40
Jordan Reed TE WAS 41 54 23 39
Jason Witten TE DAL 33 36 48 39
Antonio Gates TE SD 34 33 44 37
Martellus Bennett TE NE 31 24 43 33
Gary Barnidge TE CLE 34 52 9 32
Coby Fleener TE NO 28 23 40 30
Kyle Rudolph TE MIN 50 25 13 29
Charles Clay TE BUF 22 26 31 26
Eric Ebron TE DET 37 27 14 26
Hunter Henry TE SD 30
Jared Cook TE GB 19 19 32 23
Julius Thomas TE JAX 15 25 30 23
Tyler Eifert TE CIN 23 38 2 21
Jermaine Gresham TE ARI 19 13 24 19
Cameron Brate TE TB 40 14 1 18

 

Wide Receivers Are Where You Earn Your Keep

Want to make the playoffs in a point per first down league? Study those wide receivers and have more than just a couple mid and late round picks on your radar. I'm looking for wideouts that play in the X spot and in the later rounds I'll target young and emerging threats. Here's a list of 3rd year wide receivers you should consider.

The guys that have scored the most points per game in the plot below are the same ones that score the most in touchdown only leagues and PPR leagues. Outside of Jones and Brown, does it really matter? Do you have a crystal ball? Then don't over pay at wide receiver because you're better off with 2x three down backs. And don't forget, the Scott Fish Bowl is a 2 quarterback league. This means you're probably going to end up having to draft your quarterbacks earlier than usual but every draft is different. Your best bet for consistent average production is going to be in the mid to late rounds at wide receiver. If the running backs and quarterbacks I want fall to me then I can see myself going for consistency at WR. Meaning, I'm not looking for my WR's to put up 20+ point bombs each week.

Chart worked up by Keith Lott @ We Talk Fantasy Sports

Three Year With Average First Downs at WR

Player Pos Team 2016 2015 2014 3Y Avg
Mike Evans WR TB 81 63 46 63
T.Y. Hilton WR IND 66 49 63 59
Odell Beckham Jr. WR NYG 65 67 57 63
Julio Jones WR ATL 64 93 76 78
Antonio Brown WR PIT 64 84 85 78
Michael Thomas WR NO 62
Jordy Nelson WR GB 62 71
Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI 59 65 39 54
DeAndre Hopkins WR HOU 56 83 57 65
Michael Crabtree WR OAK 56 45 35 45
Julian Edelman WR NE 55 37 49 47
Pierre Garcon WR WAS 52 43 32 42
Jarvis Landry WR MIA 52 60 48 53
Doug Baldwin WR SEA 52 47 42 47
Willie Snead WR NO 51 44
Allen Robinson WR JAX 51 61 26 46
Cole Beasley WR DAL 51 31 26 36
Kelvin Benjamin WR CAR 50 51
Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN 50 51 69 57
Demaryius Thomas WR DEN 50 63 69 61
Tyrell Williams WR SD 48 1
Terrelle Pryor Sr. WR CLE 48
Kenny Britt WR LA 47 29 33 36
Amari Cooper WR OAK 47 45 31
Stefon Diggs WR MIN 47 31
Golden Tate WR DET 46 50 58 51
Davante Adams WR GB 45 20 23 29
Brandin Cooks WR NO 45 45 25 38
Marqise Lee WR JAX 44 11 20 25
Cameron Meredith WR CHI 44 5
Adam Thielen WR MIN 44 5 7 19
Brandon Marshall WR NYJ 43 76 41 53
Rishard Matthews WR TEN 43 31 9 28
Mike Wallace WR BAL 43 27 47 39
Brandon LaFell WR CIN 42 22 50 38
Sterling Shepard WR NYG 42
Alshon Jeffery WR CHI 41 43 60 48
Marvin Jones Jr. WR DET 41
A.J. Green WR CIN 41 63 46 50
Category - Fantasy Football Draft - Making Sense of Points Per First Down Fantasy Scoring

About Kurt Turner

Kurt's fantasy advice is featured on USA Today Sports, Bleacher Reports, SiriusXM and Fox Sports.

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