If you followed my heat map last week you did very well in DFS land, I sure did (finally!). Headed into week 15 we have another tough slate of games to choose from. The cold weather is limiting the number of "hot" receiving match-ups and making our picks even more difficult. I've included the rushing stats allowed so you can spot the funnel defenses a little easier.
Bad Weather Games
- TEN @ KC - It's going to be 9 degrees. That's cold folks and I expect it will limit the upside of each teams projected pass production.
- PHI @ BAL: Light rain, 37 degrees with 13mph winds.
- GB @ CHI: North Pole cold levels, feels like -18 degrees. 15mph wind
- DET @ NYG: Light rain, 42 degrees and low wind
Defenses Funneling to the Pass
DAL, TEN, NE, NYJ and DET are all solid versus the run but have been generous versus the pass. Look here for better than expected passing match-ups. Guys like Eli, Winston and Siemian (to a lesser extent) could find success this week.
Defenses Funneling to the Run
DEN, SD and BUF are content allowing RB's to "get some". You'll see higher volume out of guys like Crowell, L. Murray, and Blount this week.
Top Pass Match-ups
The heat map is pointing us toward the receivers / quarterbacks on ALT, BUF, KC and SD this week.
Top Run Match-ups
The heat map is pointing us toward the running backs on CLE, SFO, ATL and BUF this week.
DVR - In the heat map below you'll see the DVR next to each receiver type. DVR is the DVOA ranking for each defensive unit versus said position.