We've made it to Week 4. If you were here last week, you know I was high on David Johnson and Jordan Reed. Both had bounce-back weeks. I also advised you to trade away Agholor. I hope you listened. If you held on to Breida, the injury to Jimmy G is about to help you a lot. Beathard loves to check down to Tight Ends and Running Backs.
This week there is a lot of really good buy-low candidates. I decided to switch things up this week and try to get multiple players from each position instead of just 3 picks. Trading for these players won't always work out, sometimes you're going to get burned. So trade smart, minimalize risk and take advantage of bad games.
Players I'm Buying:
Tom Brady, Andy Dalton
Brady has yet to throw for 300 yards through three weeks. He has only 6 touchdowns with 3 turnovers. People are already talking about the fall of the Patriots dynasty. With Josh Gordon getting up to speed and Edelman returning from suspension, now is your time to make an offer. In the coming weeks Dalton plats ATL, MIA, PIT, KC, and TB. If you lost a QB this week, Dalton can be had for cheap or free.
Aaron Jones, Chris Thompson, LeSean McCoy
Jones came back to only 7 carries. It looks like to could be a full-on committee. Why would I recommend you trade for that? Because he averaged over 7 yards per carry and has an opportunity to take this backfield. Get him while he's still a committee back. Thompson busted last week playing in the rain. With a bad week and then a bye, some owners may not want to wait. Now is a good time to grab Alex Smith's favorite target. The Bills offense looked like a real NFL offense last week. Right now you can get McCoy for literally dirt cheap. Take the chance on a three down back for pennies on the dollar if you can.
Allen Robinson, Davante Adams
Adams has been good. You're not going to get him cheap but you could get him for a non-superstar price. Through three games, he's yet to hit 100 yards or have a huge blowup game. That gives you the opportunity to buy a high-end WR1 for the price of a low end. As Aaron Rodgers gets healthier, Adams is going to have bigger games. Get him while you can. Allen Robinson has 28 targets through three weeks and that number should only go up with Anthony Miller out. Without any insane WR1 production yet, Robinson should come cheap for a number one wideout.
Players I'm Selling:
Isaiah Crowell, Buck Allen
Crowell scored two touchdowns last week so he had a good week. On weeks he doesn't score.. not so much. His next five matchups are JAX, DEN, IND, MIN, CHI. He won't be scoring too much. Unload him now while the two-touchdown performance is still fresh on everyone's mind. Buck Allen isn't a must sell. He's had a role all three weeks and should be an okay flex play for the season. Having said that, he still splits with a superior back in Alex Collins. If you can get a more consistent performer for him, you should take it after the big week.
Jordy Nelson, Marquis Goodwin
What do Jared Cook, Amari Cooper, and Jordy Nelson all have in common? They each play for the Raiders and have one good fantasy week to their name. A different receiver has led the team every week of the season so far. Jared Cook seems like the only consistent producer. Trade Nelson while you're riding the wave of the big game. With the sad news of Jimmy G tearing his ACL, comes the plummeting stock of Goodwin. Beatherd is a checkdown machine. Hyde averaged 8.3 targets a game last year with him at QB compared to 3.8 without him.
Rob Gronkowski
This is a hard one. Gronk was drafted early to be an impact performer on your fantasy team. While I'm buying Brady with all those weapons coming back, I'm selling Gronk for the same reason. With plenty of low-end tight ends available like Eifert, Kittle, and Burton now is the time to trade him for an elite player at another position.
Players I'm Holding:
David Johnson
Last week David Johnson was in my Buy's. He still is if you can get him cheap. Don't panic and sell him for nothing. With Rosen taking over at QB the offense should be more consistent. Also, matchups against SEA and SF means there are easier days ahead. If you're going to sell, wait for a big week and make sure you get elite talent.
Players I'm Picking Up:
Ryan Tannehill, Nyhiem Hines, Tyler Boyd, Tyler Eifert
Tannehill has looked great this season and if you had a QB injury, this is a great place to look. Hines has been consistent in PPR and had 10 touches this week. Boyd has established himself as the #2 for an above average offense with the Bengals. Eifert has great matchups in the next five weeks. He also has 12 targets in the last two weeks and is growing back into his old role.
Make sure to follow me on Twitter @HessFootball for more fantasy advice all season long!